AI Is Not A Bubble: Ignore The Noise And Get Rich

I am pissed off at the narrative around AI

First they bombard you with news how AI will take your job and make you obsolete,

Then they hype AGI every other year saying the singularity is around the corner

Then they tell you their struggling with compute constraints and they're models are hitting a ceiling,

Then they tell you 98% of AI startups failed at using AI on a meaningful way,

Then they tell you people are expecting too much from what AGI is supposed to do for them and what achieving AGI truly means

Then they tell you AI is a bubble and it will pop,

All this while still telling you you're going to lose your job, yet no one is telling you what to do about it or where to start if you wanted to do something about it.

That's the problem with narratives and by letting society think for you.

If you're pinging off "group think" to dictate your life, you'll go crazy being sent back and forth between this tailwind or hype bubble.

You'll end up making short term decisions and basically coned into a flurry of action that leads to failure.

I'm telling you right now that most of the noise online is just that.. noise.

You won't find the information you're looking for on YouTube and X or online forums.

AI is still an industry many people are confused about and don't understand, after all MIT released a report saying 98% of AI startups failed right?

Yet tech companies are still undergoing huge layoffs.

Is this because of AI and Robotics? or is it because we've been shouting for a recession that past 3 years?

Bottom line is, ignore the bullshit, its not any indication of the direction this is going.

Instead of trying to let others think for you, get the real knowledge by yourself.

Go back to the principles and fundamentals, those don't lie.

Spend at least 100 hours using AI, and i am not just referring to prompting ChatGPT

I mean actually spend 100hrs learning the tools to use AI outside of the box.

Go learn the fundamentals and principles about how Large Language Models (LLMS) work

Learn basic principles of Machine Learning.

You don't have to become a computer scientist expert to understand the fundementals, you just need to understand them on a macro perspective.

You can probably get ahead of 99% of people by just reading the OpenAI core principles and best pratices on their public documentation

That will give you a grasp of what you can do with LLM's outside of the box.

Then spend another 100hrs trying to build something that is AI native using these foundational frameworks

Then you will know exactly where this technology is at without needing to listen to the perspective and predictions of another influencer

You will be able to make your own judgement clearly,

You know why? because now you are a practitioner.

You will start thinking:

-"hmm, i can use these frameworks to do xyz, what bottlenecks exists in my current career / day to day that i can objectively use these frameworks to automate with AI?"

-"let me try to build this tool that will do this for me and see it it works."

-"oh it works, i wonder if i can spin this up to work for anyone"

-"oh awesome, this works for me and many others who have this bottleneck."

-"what other industries can i use this tools / frameworks to solve other bottlenecks,"

-"oh i see, this actually can resolve 70 / 80 / 100 % of manual repetitive tasks."

-"oh wait, that means that this task doesn't need human intervention anymore, will a business pay for this?"

-"wow i had a business, i don't need to hire x amount of workers to fulfill this manual task anymore, my tools can do it." -"i wonder how much money people spend on fulfilling this manual task annually?" -"wow people spend $1,000 /month on labour fees to handle this manual task, that means at scale that will equal millions / billions of dollars in reduction in business operational expenses"

-"will those folks lose their jobs? will businesses no longer want to hire for such tasks?"

That's it, that will answer the questions for you, not based off some random projection of when AGI will come or some robot doing your chores.

You'll have first hand experience seeing objectively what these tools CAN ALREADY DO. not what they WILL BE ABLE TO DO.

And i am not saying you shouldn't look into the future to see where the exponential growth is going, all i am saying is that in November 2025, we have the AI tools that can already objectively automate tons of tasks that previously needed massive amount of manual input.

And we can clearly see that a vast majority of people and businesses have not implemented these frameworks into their systems. There are doctors out there that have still not even HEARD of ChatGPT

and with all the influencers and investors and public figures in the space just making predictions and projections, mass society is still on the fence of AI and weather it can do xyz

mass society is still waiting for someone to come and make the tools for them before they even consider if they want to use it

And right now, the biggest tech companies have built the tools, but they've built them for developers and builders who make the most out of it

LLM's on their own for the average person using ChatGPT is nothing more than a search tool and idea tool for writing.

But when you start building with it, you start to see the potential

That's why we are where we are.

The "they" preaching of a bubble are not in the trenches, they're looking at a bubble in the Venture Capital space

With investors pouring billions for random wierd startups that aren't even making revenue yet,

the startups fail, then investors lose trust in AI, public perception loses trust in AI and then they say the bubble popped

But for who? the investors? the funding? raising capital? sure.

But the tools are the tools, they tools never changed, the fundamentals are still the same

and the principles are that people, weather AI or not, will always want to automate things that will make them more productive, more money, and less expenditure.

So why wouldn't anyone use them? if they work then they work, we don't need AGI.

if a tool reduces your manual output by just 70% and lowers your expense by 90%, is that not still not an amazing tool?

People will always want that, so even if this bubble pops, and you continue to build really awesome AI native products, you'll get extremely rich.

especially when there's no more competition because all those trying to raise money and relied on it can't make meaningful products someone will pay for even during recession.

Once mass adoption of current tools that are integrated in a meaningful way occur, the disruption will be massive

There's $120 Trillion dollars on the planet and you're making something that will lower costs by 70%...you're going to get a juicy slice of that pie.

That's just the truth

Go learn the fundamentals, try and build something simple using the tools, and see if you change your mind.

Stay Frosty,

P.S: by "they" i am referring to the investors, builders and thought leaders in the space.